Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000745 0.000851 0.000963 0.001090 0.001230 0.001379 0.001549
2025-03-30 0.000579 0.000725 0.000890 0.001090 0.001323 0.001585 0.001901
2025-04-06 0.000484 0.000646 0.000838 0.001079 0.001372 0.001712 0.002135
2025-04-13 0.000407 0.000576 0.000785 0.001059 0.001402 0.001812 0.002336
2025-04-20 0.000366 0.000545 0.000774 0.001082 0.001480 0.001967 0.002601
2025-04-27 0.000329 0.000514 0.000758 0.001097 0.001544 0.002104 0.002847
2025-05-04 0.000289 0.000473 0.000725 0.001085 0.001571 0.002192 0.003030
2025-05-11 0.000252 0.000433 0.000690 0.001065 0.001584 0.002259 0.003187
2025-05-18 0.000231 0.000414 0.000680 0.001079 0.001641 0.002385 0.003420
2025-05-25 0.000209 0.000391 0.000663 0.001081 0.001681 0.002488 0.003624
2025-06-01 0.000181 0.000355 0.000625 0.001049 0.001671 0.002520 0.003734
2025-06-08 0.000157 0.000324 0.000590 0.001019 0.001660 0.002551 0.003841
2025-06-15 0.000141 0.000305 0.000574 0.001016 0.001691 0.002640 0.004031
2025-06-22 0.000128 0.000288 0.000559 0.001016 0.001723 0.002732 0.004228
2025-06-29 0.000114 0.000269 0.000540 0.001006 0.001740 0.002802 0.004393
2025-07-06 0.000100 0.000248 0.000516 0.000986 0.001741 0.002848 0.004526
2025-07-13 0.000094 0.000243 0.000517 0.001008 0.001807 0.002989 0.004796
2025-07-20 0.000087 0.000235 0.000514 0.001023 0.001860 0.003112 0.005042
2025-07-27 0.000078 0.000220 0.000497 0.001011 0.001871 0.003174 0.005199
2025-08-03 0.000069 0.000204 0.000476 0.000992 0.001870 0.003215 0.005327
2025-08-10 0.000064 0.000198 0.000473 0.001005 0.001920 0.003335 0.005574
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000189 0.000465 0.001007 0.001953 0.003429 0.005782
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000173 0.000440 0.000977 0.001929 0.003434 0.005857